The statistical un-likelihood of Donald Trump [analysis of a Trump-Up analysis]

Eric Schulman and Daniel Debowy write: Contrary to what you might have heard recently (“Get ready for President Trump, says election whiz who’s scary accurate“) from a statistics-driven political scientist, Donald Trump will not “almost certainly become President of the United States” if he wins the Republican nomination. The mainstream media are helping spread that […]

What was that Again?: Decay of Attention in Science

The only thing in science than may be even more prominent than the data deluge is the paper deluge: there is an increasingly large number of scholarly (and “scholarly”) journals, and an ever-increasing wealth of papers to fill them. Clearly, this calls for a paper to analyze the situation. In a new study on the […]

Flaccid Mechanics: From Penis-Size Statistics to Penis-Size Physics

As recently discussed in this blog and elsewhere, a team of UK researchers have published a new study with the scintillating title of Am I normal? A systematic review and construction of nomograms for flaccid and erect penis length and circumference in up to 15521 men. The first sentence of the paper’s introduction sums things […]

Rating tiddlywinks (statistically)

Dr. Patrick Barrie, PhD, MRSC, CEng, MIChemE, Cchem, MA, BA, of the Department of Chemical Engineering and Biotechnology at Cambridge University, UK, presents A new sports ratings system: The tiddlywinks world ratings in the Journal of Applied Statistics Volume 30, Issue 4, 2003 “After each tournament, a ‘tournament rating’ is calculated for each player based […]

Extensions of Differences in Differences (statistics) 1985 – 2011

The Difference-in-Differences (DiD) statistical method has now been in use for almost 30 years. see: ‘Using the Longitudinal Structure of Earnings to Estimate the Effect of Training Programs‘ by Orley Ashenfelter; David Card, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 67, No. 4. (Nov., 1985), pp. 648-660. (page 5 in the .pdf). And the Difference-in-Differences […]